Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.401060 0.472766 0.551771 0.645026 0.751829 0.870055 1.010555
2024-10-20 0.283493 0.375804 0.487977 0.633219 0.815077 1.033936 1.315786
2024-10-27 0.211574 0.310857 0.442146 0.625934 0.873590 1.192388 1.629830
2024-11-03 0.169487 0.272509 0.419077 0.638274 0.952224 1.379173 1.995633
2024-11-10 0.137903 0.240751 0.397046 0.644892 1.019261 1.552949 2.357506
2024-11-17 0.113460 0.213889 0.376077 0.647318 1.076974 1.715493 2.715018
2024-11-24 0.096117 0.194547 0.362613 0.657511 1.144847 1.896096 3.111320
2024-12-01 0.081086 0.175822 0.346453 0.659763 1.198421 2.057369 3.489212
2024-12-08 0.065473 0.152474 0.318000 0.636238 1.205463 2.144099 3.755668
2024-12-15 0.058503 0.144684 0.316314 0.659026 1.292123 2.364720 4.250379
2024-12-22 0.051876 0.136146 0.311641 0.675166 1.367810 2.571901 4.736597
2024-12-29 0.048588 0.134293 0.319815 0.716367 1.492040 2.870041 5.394229
2025-01-05 0.041220 0.121537 0.303906 0.708999 1.527032 3.018766 5.813270
2025-01-12 0.034854 0.109721 0.288065 0.699610 1.557089 3.161082 6.231857
2025-01-19 0.029700 0.099726 0.274517 0.692967 1.591284 3.312726 6.676488
2025-01-26 0.026508 0.094312 0.270733 0.706967 1.668197 3.549120 7.289878
2025-02-02 0.023398 0.088315 0.264472 0.714403 1.731845 3.764312 7.877108
2025-02-09 0.020496 0.082153 0.256691 0.717132 1.785389 3.963140 8.445265
2025-02-16 0.018325 0.077736 0.252703 0.728311 1.858088 4.204407 9.108528
2025-02-23 0.016110 0.072520 0.245601 0.730786 1.911368 4.409787 9.713757
2025-03-02 0.013309 0.064277 0.228361 0.705053 1.897541 4.476100 10.048128
2025-03-09 0.012348 0.062706 0.230419 0.729986 2.003973 4.800055 10.916260
2025-03-16 0.011283 0.060390 0.229807 0.747639 2.094524 5.095845 11.742953